ADI Predictstreet, FIFA's official prediction market partner, reached 23 US states on June 8 via a Fanatics Markets hub. The flat $0.02 fee runs higher than Kalshi and Polymarket for balanced contracts.
ADI Predictstreet, appointed as FIFA's official prediction market partner for the 2026 World Cup, launched its US trading hub on June 8, three days before the tournament kicked off. The platform is available in 23 US states and four territories through a partnership with Fanatics Markets, the CFTC-registered prediction market operator that runs on Crypto.com's exchange infrastructure.
The launch marks the first time a FIFA-branded prediction market has been accessible to regulated US retail traders. ADI Predictstreet holds a Gibraltar license issued in March 2026 but is not itself registered with the CFTC. The Fanatics Markets partnership solves that: US traders place contracts through Fanatics' regulated infrastructure, not directly on ADI's platform.
ADI Predictstreet is an Abu Dhabi-based prediction market platform built on the ADI Chain blockchain. For settlement data on World Cup match results, the platform uses Chainlink as its exclusive oracle infrastructure. Match outcomes flow from the real world into the smart contracts via Chainlink's decentralized data feeds rather than from a single internal data source.
The multi-year deal with FIFA makes ADI the only officially licensed prediction market for World Cup 2026 branding and marketing. It does not grant exclusivity over World Cup event markets. Kalshi and Polymarket also list their own World Cup contracts independently. What ADI gets is the right to use the FIFA trademark and to market itself as the tournament's official prediction partner.
ADI operates in a structure now common among newer prediction market entrants: a non-US license paired with a CFTC-registered partner for US market access.
Fanatics Markets operates as a designated contract market via Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-registered DCM and derivatives clearing organization. When a US trader places a contract through the ADI World Cup Hub on Fanatics, the trade clears through CDNA. ADI's Gibraltar license governs the rest-of-world operation. Fanatics' CFTC registration governs the US leg.
This model is not unique to ADI. FanDuel Predicts uses CME Group's exchange infrastructure for the same reason. The pattern: an operator with a brand or audience wants US exposure without the cost and timeline of obtaining its own CFTC DCM designation. Partnering with a licensed DCM is the practical route.
One practical consequence for traders: you cannot fund an ADI Predictstreet account directly and trade in the US. You fund a Fanatics Markets account and access the World Cup Hub from there. Withdrawal and deposit rules are Fanatics' rules. ACH deposits are free; Apple Pay and debit card deposits carry a 2% fee. Withdrawals have no fee.
When you trade World Cup contracts through the Fanatics hub, you pay Fanatics Markets' fee schedule, not a separate ADI rate. Fanatics charges a flat $0.02 per contract for contracts priced between roughly $0.04 and $0.96. Outside that range, a Technology Fee applies and the total per-contract cost falls as low as $0.0034.
Compare that to the two main CFTC-regulated alternatives at the same price points:
| Contract price (p) | Polymarket sports | Kalshi | ADI via Fanatics |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.30 | $0.0063 | $0.0147 | $0.0200 |
| $0.50 | $0.0075 | $0.0175 | $0.0200 |
| $0.70 | $0.0063 | $0.0147 | $0.0200 |
| $0.90 | $0.0027 | $0.0063 | varies* |
*Fanatics Technology Fee applies below $0.20 and above $0.80; per-contract cost falls below $0.02 toward the extremes.
Polymarket sports applies 0.03 × p × (1 − p) per contract. Kalshi applies 0.07 × p × (1 − p). Both formulas peak at 50 cents and taper toward zero at extreme prices. Fanatics' flat $0.02 breaks that pattern: it does not taper at mid-range prices.
A concrete example. You buy 200 contracts at $0.55 on a World Cup group-stage outcome.
At this price and position size, ADI via Fanatics costs $0.53 more than Kalshi and $2.51 more than Polymarket on the buy alone. The round-trip gap doubles when you close the position. Run your specific price and size through the fee calculator before choosing a platform.
For traders in states where Fanatics operates and where Kalshi or Polymarket are also available, the fee table above is the relevant math. Fanatics' flat fee costs more at mid-range prices. If fee minimization is the objective and liquidity is comparable across platforms, Polymarket is cheapest at balanced prices, Kalshi is in the middle, and Fanatics is highest.
ADI Predictstreet's practical edge is its FIFA license, which may produce official tournament markets or data integrations that appear there first. If you want to trade a contract type available only on the ADI hub, or if Kalshi and Polymarket liquidity is thin on a specific outcome, ADI via Fanatics is a regulated alternative with meaningful volume during the tournament.
The flat fee also affects break-even probability. On a 50-cent contract at Fanatics, each contract costs $0.02 to buy and $0.02 to sell. Your position needs to close at roughly $0.54 just to recover both sides of the fee with no profit. At Kalshi, the equivalent break-even is $0.5175. At Polymarket, it is $0.5075. Use the PM EV calculator to find the fee-adjusted break-even probability for any specific trade before you place it.
For the complete Fanatics Markets fee schedule, deposit costs, and state availability map, the Fanatics Markets guide covers all of it. For a side-by-side fee comparison across all regulated US platforms, see prediction market fees compared. For Kalshi's own fee formula across all price points, see the Kalshi 2026 fee guide.