Prediction Market News

The fees, taxes, and rules that move across Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, and every prediction market. Dated, sourced, and explained with the math, so you always know what a trade actually costs.

  1. Regulation

    Prediction Market Regulation Escalates: Kalshi Sues Minnesota, CFTC Sues Rhode Island

    Late May 2026 brought a wave of prediction-market lawsuits and split appeals-court rulings. Here is the state of play and what it means for your account.

  2. Taxes

    Will Kalshi, Polymarket, or Robinhood Send a 1099 for 2026? What Each Platform Actually Does

    No 1099 does not mean no tax. Here is what Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood actually report for 2026, and why the reporting gap is yours to close.

  3. Fees

    Kalshi's 2026 Fee Schedule and New Volume Tiers: What a Trade Actually Costs

    Kalshi's fee schedule, effective February 5, 2026, keeps the per-contract formula but adds volume-based taker tiers. We run the numbers on what you actually pay.