Calculate the minimum win rate needed to profit on Polymarket Global and US.
Polymarket's break-even depends on which version you're using. Global (2% on winnings) has a very low break-even that barely exceeds the contract price. US (0.1% taker) has an even lower break-even. This makes Polymarket one of the most fee-efficient platforms for break-even analysis.
Enter your Polymarket contract price.
Select Polymarket and your region (Global or US).
Review the break-even probability.
Compare against other platforms' break-evens at the same price.
Assess whether your conviction exceeds the break-even threshold.
Polymarket Global Yes at $0.40. Fee = 2% × $0.60 = $0.012. Effective payout = $0.988. Break-even = $0.40 / $0.988 = 40.5%. Polymarket US: fee = $0.0004. Break-even = 40.04%. Both are barely above the raw 40% implied probability.
Fee model: 2% on net profits at withdrawal (Global) / 0.1% taker fee (US)
Formula: Global: 0.02 × net profit | US: 0.001 × premium per trade
Timing: Charged at resolution or withdrawal
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