Cross-Platform Arbitrage with Polymarket

Find and calculate arbitrage between Polymarket and other prediction markets. Account for Polymarket's unique fee structure.

Arb CalculatorPolymarket · Crypto-Based

Why This Matters

Polymarket's deep liquidity on political markets often creates temporary price differences with Kalshi and Robinhood. Polymarket Global's 2% fee on winnings creates a unique arb dynamic — you only pay the fee on the winning leg, not both.

Calculator

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Step-by-Step: Arb Calculator on Polymarket

  1. 1

    Compare Polymarket contract prices with the same event on Kalshi or Robinhood.

  2. 2

    Enter both sides' prices into the Arb Calculator.

  3. 3

    Select the correct fee structure for each platform.

  4. 4

    Note: Polymarket Global fees apply only to the winning side, not the losing side.

  5. 5

    Calculate guaranteed profit and optimal stake split.

Worked Example

Polymarket Yes at $0.45 (Global, fee on win = 2% × $0.55 = $0.011). Robinhood No at $0.50 (fee = $0.02). Total cost: $0.45 + $0.50 + $0.02 = $0.97 + conditional $0.011 on Polymarket win. Worst case profit: $0.019/contract.

Polymarket Fee Summary

Fee model: 2% on net profits at withdrawal (Global) / 0.1% taker fee (US)

Formula: Global: 0.02 × net profit | US: 0.001 × premium per trade

Timing: Charged at resolution or withdrawal

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